So it has a chance as a sleeper.

Wrong! this is a movie with enormous good humor and smart provocative lines every second which sails way above its accusations of true misogyny and anal fixation etc – if you are attractive and smart you’ll love it, if you are fat and plain you may have problems unless you have great sense of humor and know what matters and know that Tucker et al are smart comedy writers not genuine assholes.
Tucker Max says he labored over 12 revisions of the script and turned a sows ear into a silk purse and he is totally right. Despite the usual predictable panning by the mostly played out and tribal coterie of print critics left standing after the current massacre of their colleagues which leaves them essentially unable to see a comedy of this kind with fresh eyes this is going to be big, very big, since it is done well, very well.

If Tucker comes out of this a success, that means a writer can succeed in hollywood on the strength of his product alone. Without studio executives focus grouping the hell out of it. If it inspires more like him that would be a huge step in the right direction for a industry drowning in Will Ferrel-esque throw away comedies.

1. If the book sold 400k copies I can guarantee you it’s been read by twice as many people. My own copy is completely tattered, water stained and dog-eared from 5-6 people grabbing it off my desk and taking it home. And that’s after my girlfriend and I read it.

2. Supposing that ‘only’ 400k people are fans enough to purchase the book, aren’t those same people going to be talking incessantly about the movie leading up to it’s release? That’s a pretty significant street team IMHO, especially when you factor in my point above.

3. Touring the country and stopping off at selected colleges BEFORE the release is going to be huge. How are you missing this? Am I taking crazy pills? That’s his core audience, and according to census reports there are approximately 16 million undergrads attending at any one time.

My guess is that if it’s that good, they’ll be seeing it more than once (points to the Hangover) and I honestly can’t think of a better bang for his buck (pun intended) than to generate WOM in this particular section of the populace.

If it sucks, you win, and it’ll tank. If it doesn’t, most of what Tucker has predicted will come true.. regardless of what your analysis points to.

It’s sad to see someone wish failure on someone else for the simple reason of backing up whatever beliefs that keep this person’s safety blanket attached securely to that person’s body. Would it really be that bad to see him succeed? So a man takes some initiative and has some success. What’s it to you? Only good can come of his project. If the movie is good, you get to enjoy a fun two hours. If the movie is not, you will not see it and be spared (most likely due to you searching an IMDB rating before even considering buying a ticket). So this movie can, no matter what, cause you to either profit or break even, and your wishing failure. I guess this means that you’re just miserable. Sucks to be you dude.

Freestyle releasing is essentially a way to self-distribute. Tucker has openly said his distributor is Fox. -That- is a flat-out lie.

Freestyle and Darko both have never had a hit ON PAR with what Tucker is predicting. His movie may very well make good money, but he claims 20 million opening weekend.

The script has been panned by several well known critics, and the general rejection by major studios seemed to indicate they didn’t think the script was that good either.

“I’m guessing it’ll start off strong on IMDB (maybe low-8s) then taper off to the mid-7s.”

BUHAAUHAUAH! Go over to the IMDB boards and you tell me. I’m predicting low…and as far as box office gross? FreeStyle Releasing is doing it…top grosser is 16 million box office, and they had better actors and writing in those movies.

Everyone overestimates his fan base…he sold only 400,000 copies of that book. Let’s assume he gets all 400,000 readers, at 10 bucks a piece, that’s 4 million gross. It’s opening on about 500 screens, it’s not going to become a cult classic (which is the line he’s selling now) because Tucker never bothered to be serious about his craft because he can’t handle criticism and thinks his way is the only way.

Looking forward to this tanking like a stone, proving that no you can’t translate mild internet fame into talent or a legitimate celebrity career.